A new report
issued by the Center for the Study
of the American Electorate (CSAE) last
week suggests that the upcoming election season will yield the lowest midterm
primary turnout in history. National turnout in 2010 was down 18 percent for
states that held statewide primaries for both major parties, reaffirming RNLA’s
findings in its PCEA report
that early voting has little to no tangible benefits.
The data
shows that eleven states in the study had early in-person voting. Eight of
these states had lower turnout than in 2010, six of those being record low
turnouts. Of the thirteen states that have a no excuse absentee voting policy,
eleven had lower turnout than in 2010, all eleven as record low turnouts. Eight
states utilize both early voting and no excuse absentee voting. Six of these
states had lower turnout than in 2010, all six as low record turnouts.
Similarly, proponents of Election Day registration have
also argued that it will increase turnout. Like convenience voting, the
statistics do not prove this. On the contrary, the evidence shows Election Day
registration states like Colorado, Idaho, Iowa, all had lower turnout in the
2014 election as compared with 2010.
The report concludes that these policies contribute to low
voter turnout. “The
data in this report shows that the hope of enhancing turnout by making it
easier is the wrong way to approach the disengagement problem and, in some
cases, is dangerous. Both no-excuse absentee voting and mail voting have been
shown in all elections . . . to hurt turnout.”
Furthermore, the report states that low voter turnout is a
self-perpetuating challenge that leads to voter apathy. The cohesion formed by
political parties is “being lost. High levels of involvement lessen the chances
that . . . politics will be dominated by narrow ideology and interest. Low
levels make that result probable.”
CSAE provides insight into the solution. The real problems are
found in unclear campaign messages, “scurrilous” attack ads, and an uninformed
electorate. “Durable
revitalization of American democracy will not be solved by procedural quick
fixes.” Convenience voting is not even a good Band-Aid for these deep seeded
issues.
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